Theory of the morons

by reynz on November 20, 2009

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In a comment in this entry, BongV said:

Using the same sampling base, considering that he went from 60% approval in October (SWS) to 44% approval in October (Pulse Asia) – that’s a 16% reduction in 2 months. With 6 months to go, as the campaign becomes more issues-oriented – under the worst case scenario (decrease of 16% every 2 months) –

September 2009 – 60%
November 2009 – 44%
Jan 2010 – 28%
Mar 2010 -12%

This is what happens when you try to bluff people by using words like sampling base or worst case scenario, like this is one big case study only to find out how elementary and logically hungry the analysis was. Nah, I don’t want to say personal things in here but I can’t help describing this as the Theory of the Morons. Let’s take this bloody statistical theory of BongV and see what happens, shall we people?

The last survey indicated that Noynoy was up at 60%. The latest put him at 44%. This was how it looked like:

bongv theory of the morons 1

Did you notice that Villar has 18% decrease, higher than Noynoy’s??? In effect, according to our scientist, Noynoy will have a survey ratings of 12% come March 2010. Well, let’s apply the same theory to Villar, shall we amigos?

Here’s how it would look like.

bongv theory of the morons 2

Do you know what that means?!

That means, that by March 2010, Villar should just get out of the Presidential race because he would have a negative… A NEGATIVE survey ratings of 17%!!!

Huh! Get outta here!!!

Aquino still comes out on top!

How about that, huh?

Gloria. Please. Stop laughing.

Obama US Philippines   DCAB101

Ok. I expect another hate blog from BongV.

Follow this entry here: Theory of the morons

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{ 5 comments… read them below or add one }

The Equalizer Post November 20, 2009 at 9:59 pm

RENZ:
The current EQ Poll on Presidential Tandems:

Gibo/Edu:4%
Manny & Loren:8%
Erap & Jojo:4%
Noynoy & Mar:79%
none of the above:5%

votes to-date:209
The Equalizer Post´s last blog ..Who Are Your Favorite 2010 Senatoriables? My ComLuv Profile

[Reply]

reynz Reply:

79%?! hahaha! fair yan ha? hindi yan kagaya ni Recto na yung sa Turtle Island na nabasa ko ki Ellen Tordesillas na pati daw turtles eh pinagboto hehe
reynz´s last blog ..Kristie Kenney and the first African-American envoy to RP: Harry Thomas Jr. My ComLuv Profile

[Reply]

Boldstar November 21, 2009 at 6:50 am

oy Renz hahahahaha ay naku po ganun? hehehehe like Gloria one plus 0 is 100 million votes

Ikaw Iha 82%
minus 16% ekwals 66%
then 50%
and walahh abracadabra 34%

YOU win

[Reply]

reynz Reply:

hehehe hey mas matindi pa dyan si gloria hehehe extrapolation to the nth power ad infinitum hahaha isang dial lang sya pati
reynz´s last blog ..Kristie Kenney and the first African-American envoy to RP: Harry Thomas Jr. My ComLuv Profile

[Reply]

The Equalizer Post November 21, 2009 at 8:04 am

EQ POLL:results to-date
Who are your favorite senatoriables?
Frank Drilon 6% (6 votes)
Gen.Danny Lim 13% (13 votes)
Rissa Hontiveros 12% (12 votes)
Serge Osmena 9% (9 votes)
TG Guingona 9% (9 votes)
Ralph Recto 6% (6 votes)
Sonia Roco 14% (14 votes)
Ruffy Biazon 6% (6 votes)
Nereus Acosta 6% (6 votes)
Bongbong Marcos 2% (2 votes)
Lisa Maza 5% (5 votes)
Satur Ocampo 4% (4 votes)
Pia Cayetano 2% (2 votes)
Miriam Santiago 7% (7 votes)
Johnny Enrile 2% (2 votes)
Bong Revilla 0% (0 votes)
Jinggoy Estrada 0% (0 votes)
Lito Lapid 0% (0 votes)
Joey De Venecia 0% (0 votes)
Gilbert Remulla 0% (0 votes)
Total Votes: 103
The Equalizer Post´s last blog ..Who Are Your Favorite 2010 Senatoriables? My ComLuv Profile

[Reply]

reynz Reply:

ba’t zero si remulla? hehehe
reynz´s last blog ..Kristie Kenney and the first African-American envoy to RP: Harry Thomas Jr. My ComLuv Profile

[Reply]

Elyong November 21, 2009 at 9:42 am

hehehe… trending – not applicable here.
Elyong´s last blog ..Peanut Story My ComLuv Profile

[Reply]

reynz Reply:

hehe un lang kasi ang forecasting na alam ng iba dyan
reynz´s last blog ..How not to start a blog: hate blogs by BongV and Benign0 My ComLuv Profile

[Reply]

Silver November 22, 2009 at 5:48 pm

Magkano ba ang utak sa palengke? Bigyan nga natin ang mga moronic forces na yan. Hahahhaha.

[Reply]

reynz Reply:

ngak hehehe

[Reply]

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